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US unveils new sanction intended to strangle Iran’s economy as conflict drags on; Tehran vows tough response_我的网站

A |     　　期货日报　　美债全线上涨！　　截至发稿，美国2年期国债上涨0.12%，美国5年期国债上涨0.48%，美国10年期国债上涨0.48%，美国30年期国债上涨0.35%。

B |     

    Drivers queue at a petrol station to refuel in Tehran, on August 25, 2026. Photo: VCG
As military strikes and diplomatic negotiations have both failed to bring an early end to the roughly six‑month‑old US-Iran conflict, Washington rolled out new sanctions against Tehran on Monday local time intended to further strangle its economy. Iran, for its part, has vowed a tougher pushback.
In a news conference on Monday, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent threatened new sanctions on countries refusing to cut economic ties with Iran, following recent rhetoric from Washington threatening an "economic D-Day" for Iran. 
Meanwhile, the Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) under the US Treasury announced secondary sanctions on nearly 60 entities, individuals, and vessels in multiple jurisdictions which, according to the US' claims, enable Iran's activities, including so-called nuclear and missile technology procurement, cyber operations, and oil-revenue generation networks.
According to Reuters, those sanctions targeted businesses in China, the UAE, Singapore and several other countries, including a cooking-oil refinery in France, but did not include any of the Chinese financial institutions suspected of facilitating Iran's oil trade.
In response to US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent laying out plans for economic asphyxiation of Iran, expanding Washington's secondary sanction threats and warning of dire consequences for countries that do not join the campaign, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Lin Jian said at a press briefing on Tuesday that China has made clear on many occasions its firm opposition to illicit unilateral sanctions that have no basis in international law or the authorization of the UN Security Council. 
"Economic warfare and maximum pressure provide no solution. On the contrary, they only serve to fuel tensions and lead to risk spillover, which will disrupt the global economic and financial order, and harm the legitimate rights and interests of other countries," the spokesperson said. 
The pressing task is to facilitate the deescalation of the situation and return to dialogue and negotiation as soon as possible, Lin said, adding that China will do everything necessary to firmly safeguard its rights and interests, Lin added. Lin also said China's cooperation with Iran is conducted within the framework of international law, thus should not be disrupted.
When asked whether China has received any such timeline, as the US stated it would give countries a timeline on when to shut down the actions that it has identified, and how China intends to respond to the relevant announcements by the US Treasury involving China-based entities and individuals, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Lin Jian stated on Tuesday that China is closely following the developments, and will do everything necessary to firmly safeguard our rights and interests.
In May this year, China's Ministry of Commerce issued a blocking ban prohibiting any recognition, enforcement or compliance with US sanctions imposed on five Chinese companies on the grounds of their alleged involvement in Iranian petroleum transactions.
Relying on its financial hegemony and long‑arm jurisdiction, the US enforces unilateral sanctions with no basis in international law. Such measures severely undermine fundamental consensus for international trade and erode the existing international order, Zhou Mi, senior research fellow at the Chinese Academy of International Trade and Economic Cooperation, told the Global Times on Tuesday.
In essence, Washington is imposing its Iran‑focused policies to enterprises across the globe, compelling third‑party actors to fall in line with its diplomatic objectives, Zhou noted.
The latest sanctions would affect a broader range of countries, industries and firms. They will not only draw wider opposition from the international community, but also boomerang on the interests of US‑owned enterprises, he added. 
Fewer levers left 
"We are launching an economic onslaught against Iran's financial connections around the globe," Bessent claimed at a press conference. "Our objective is to sever every economic lifeline" that sustains the country, he said, according to a Treasury release. 
The US Treasury Department said in a release that the new sectoral sanctions determinations target five critical sectors - digital assets, technology, gold, aviation and shipping - that the US claimed Iran has relied on to support its economy.
US Treasury claimed that "any entity that facilitates money laundering or sanctions evasion on behalf of Iran risks being cut off from the US financial system."
OFAC also suspended several general licenses that previously authorized certain remittance payments to Iran and Iranian access to the US cultural and academic system. The office also issued additional guidance on the so-called sanctions risks of bowing to Iranian demands related to shipping in the Strait of Hormuz.
Mohammad Mokhber, an aide to Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, said in an X post on Monday that Iran's response to US sanctions and pressure will be "more decisive than before."
Iranian Economy Minister Ali Madanizadeh said that Tehran "is and was ready," with a two-year plan to counter Washington's new sanctions. He told state television that "it seems they wished to suffer yet another defeat," per an AFP report. 
Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf responded in an X post that "the Americans know no one will believe their nonsense," noting that the US is not in a position economically to restrict its relations with other countries. 
Alan Eyre, a distinguished diplomatic fellow at the Middle East Institute, told NBC News that after six months of combat, the US government "has few remaining levers it can use to convince Iran's major trading partners to materially reduce their economic ties."
While Washington's maximum‑pressure campaign may deliver short‑term shocks to Iran's economy, it can hardly "strangle" the country completely, said Liu Zhongmin, a professor at the Middle East Studies Institute of Shanghai International Studies University.
He added that Iran's economic resilience cannot be underestimated. Having borne decades of crippling sanctions from the US and Western nations, Tehran has built substantial experience in sanction‑busting and developed coping mechanisms ranging from basic‑industry self‑reliance and regional trade networks to oil‑for‑goods swaps and non‑US dollar‑denominated trade. Furthermore, the Strait of Hormuz remains a source of strategic leverage for Iran to push back against US pressure.
The expert said that Tehran and Washington are encountering "a battle of wills," and Iran believes the economic costs the US would suffer from a Hormuz blockade would outweigh the damage inflicted on Iran by sanctions.
Washington's "economic strangulation" policy risks ending in failure unless it yields short‑term outcomes, particularly securing the opening of the Strait of Hormuz, Liu added. 
Self-created dilemma
As the US ramps up pressure on Iran, Americans are growing averse to a protracted war.
According to a Reuters/Ipsos poll that closed on Monday, US ‌public approval of the war with Iran fell to its lowest level since the conflict's early days, with just 31 percent of Americans supporting US military action.
On June 18, the US and Iran signed an MoU, under which the two were scheduled to hold negotiations within a period of 60 days, which ended on August 17, to reach a final agreement. However, the talks' fate remains unclear following renewed escalation between the two countries.
Iranian political analyst Mostafa Khoshcheschm told Al Jazeera that the new US sanctions intended to create an "economic onslaught" were a "political show" of intimidation. 
Liu said that by resorting to an "economic strangulation" tactic after miring itself in a fruitless military quagmire over Iran, the US has laid bare its practical predicament and strategic dilemma, and seemingly running out of cards.
Citing sources, CNN reported earlier this month that the US military has exhausted nearly 80 percent of its interceptors for a key missile defense system as senior US military commanders are warning that the Pentagon's munitions stockpile is "dangerously low."
Faced with depleted ammunition stockpiles and insufficient military‑industrial capacity, and amid growing domestic criticism of its Middle East policy, the White House has opted for tough economic measures against Iran, Liu said. "Less costly than military coercion, such moves help Washington strike a tough posture before voters and shun political risks from further military escalation," said the expert.
There is, however, an increasingly obvious paradox in Washington's economic warfare against Iran: the tighter the sanctions, the tighter global energy supplies become, and the higher costs borne by American consumers and businesses, the expert added. 
。其中，美国30年期国债收益率已经连续超40天站上5%。

C | 　　与此同时，趋势跟踪型对冲基金（CTA）与杠杆投资者在美债期货上建立了史上最大规模的净空头头寸。

D | 巨额资金押注债券价格继续下跌、收益率持续上行。　　据悉，美国财政部决定采取行动，从下月起，长期国债的回购规模至少翻番。　　但专家称此举是“用创可贴治枪伤”。市场最初以涨势加以回应：长期美债的价格上扬，30年期美债收益率从数日前创下的19年来的最高位回落。但相关效果迅速归零，收益率再度抬头。　　摩根大通认为，回购美国国债或能带来暂时缓解，却可能只是将债务问题的爆发推迟。美国财政部在做什么？其实是在回购期限较长的债券，同时发行短期票据。

E | 　　摩根大通有专家指出：“这类似于用信用卡还房贷，短期或奏效，但错配一定会愈加明显。”美国国债的规模持续震撼经济界。它已攀升至40万亿美元，推动美国30年期国债收益率升至19年以来的最高点。

F | 美国10年期国债的收益率逼近年化5%的关口。这相当于5年前的约3倍。　　与此同时，美联储已经3年没上调利率。市场普遍怀疑，美国财政部是否有足够“火力”去管理一个庞大的固定收益市场。　　美国财政部长贝森特的投资导师杜肯家族办公室负责人斯坦利·德鲁肯米勒警告称，如果没有财政纪律，美国财政部压低美债收益率的努力不仅会伤害市场，也会损害美国财政部的公信力。

G | 　　他在《华尔街日报》专栏中写道：“如果30年期美债必须以5.5%的收益率成交，那不是危机，而是一张账单。真正能持久压低长期收益率的唯一办法，是解决初级赤字。

H | ”　　BCA首席策略师瑞安·斯威夫特在客户报告中表示：“如果美国政府真的想压低债券收益率，美联储必须参与其中。除非美联储动用资产负债表，否则美国政府压低债券收益率的任何努力都将失败。事实上，如果投资者开始察觉政府在急于求成，这些努力甚至可能适得其反。”　　不过，斯威夫特认为，美联储主席凯文·沃什可能不愿介入。沃什在其短暂执掌美联储期间，一直强调应让市场发挥价格发现功能。太平洋投资管理公司公共政策主管坎特里尔提醒投资者，即便技术手段能短期压低收益率，但美国巨额预算赤字这一根本矛盾并未消失。　　在40万亿美元债务红线的背景下，支撑国债融资的供应压力依然巨大。根据摩根大通截至8月24日的客户调查，市场头寸正呈现出两极分化的态势：中性头寸降至54%，为今年5月以来最低。　　这意味着，在“贝森特期权”的影响下，原本观望的资金正被迫入场，在政策干预与宏观压力之间寻找新的平衡点。责任编辑：李铁民。

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Published on:11:46:29